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28 April 2016

Government’s Operation Research division Operational Research in the Ministry of Defence Home Office Analytics: Overview Dan Amos – Home Office Analytics: Case study George Martin – Appeals and Litigation Forecasting: A Driver Based approach Alan Hall – Queue modelling for Border Force

Location: Meeting Room 1, Ground Floor, JLB
Time: 11:00am - 2:30pm
Speaker(s): , Matt Nicholson, Kate Brand, Dan Amos , George Martin

This seminar will be given by staff from the Government Operational Research Service (GORS), which is responsible for providing analytical support and mathematical modelling across the UK Civil Service. There will be five short talks. Matt Nicholson will set the scene with an overview of the role of operational research in the Ministry of Defence. Kate Brand will then summarise the work of the Home Office Data Analytic Centre, a relatively new unit set up to exploit the possibilities of “big data” within the department’s business areas. This will be followed (speaker TBC) by a case study giving an example of the work of the centre. A significant area for GORS is forecasting, which will be represented by George Martin with a talk on predicting the volumes of immigration appeals and judicial reviews; the methodology was based on identifying prior events that drive these activities. The talk will include a discussion of communicating uncertainty to stakeholders. Finally Alan Hall (who’s also a part time PhD student in our Department) will describe work aimed at helping Border Force to reduce queues at passport control.

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Contact: mailto:gul.calilki@open.ac.uk