28 April 2016
Government’s Operation Research division
Operational Research in the Ministry of Defence
Home Office Analytics: Overview
Dan Amos – Home Office Analytics: Case study
George Martin – Appeals and Litigation Forecasting: A Driver Based approach
Alan Hall – Queue modelling for Border Force
Meeting Room 1, Ground Floor, JLB
11:00am - 2:30pm
, Matt Nicholson, Kate Brand, Dan Amos , George Martin
This seminar will be given by staff from the Government Operational Research Service (GORS), which is responsible for providing analytical support and mathematical modelling across the UK Civil Service. There will be five short talks.
Matt Nicholson will set the scene with an overview of the role of operational research in the Ministry of Defence.
Kate Brand will then summarise the work of the Home Office Data Analytic Centre, a relatively new unit set up to exploit the possibilities of “big data” within the department’s business areas.
This will be followed (speaker TBC) by a case study giving an example of the work of the centre.
A significant area for GORS is forecasting, which will be represented by George Martin with a talk on predicting the volumes of immigration appeals and judicial reviews; the methodology was based on identifying prior events that drive these activities. The talk will include a discussion of communicating uncertainty to stakeholders.
Finally Alan Hall (who’s also a part time PhD student in our Department) will describe work aimed at helping Border Force to reduce queues at passport control.
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